8th International Workshop on Air Quality Forecasting Research

8th International Workshop on Air Quality Forecasting Research
2015 Pan American/ParaPan American Games Legacy Data Workshop

Toronto, Ontario
January 10 - 12, 2017

as of January 6, 2017

To access each abstract, click on the title of each session.
Day 1: 8th IWAQFR - January 10, 2017

Time/Session Event Chairs/Presenters
8:00 - 8:45 a.m.
8:45 - 9:05 a.m.
Heather Morrison (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
9:05 - 9:30 a.m.
Perspectives on air quality forecasting in Canada Veronique Bouchet (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
9:30 - 9:55 a.m.
NOAA’s perspective and development of capabilities needed for air quality predictions
Ivanka Stajner (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)
9:55 - 10:20 a.m.
Expanding the Role of Atmospheric Composition in Environmental Prediction and Services Greg Carmichael (Iowa University /World Meteorological Organization)
10:20 - 10:40 am
Session 1 Operational Forecasting and Communicating Impacts Chairs: Bill Appleby,
Dave Henderson
10:40 - 11:00 a.m.
Recent upgrades to the chemical transport model used in the Canadian operational regional air quality deterministic prediction system
Michael Moran (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
11:00 - 11:20 a.m.
Update on operational air quality predictions for the United States: new predictions of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) Ivanka Stajner (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)
11:20 - 11:40 a.m.
COPERNICUS-CAMS50: An air quality ensemble modelling system over Europe. From research to operation Marion Pithon (Meteo France)
11:40 - 12:00 p.m.
EcoForecast.eu-8 years of operational air quality forecasting for Central Europe Jacek Kaminski (Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences (IG PAS))
12:00 - 1:30 p.m.
1:30 - 1:50 p.m.
The Modeling Analysis and Prediction initiative for Air Quality (MAP-AQ)
Guy Brasseur (Mac Planck Institute for Meteorology)
1:50 - 2:10 p.m.
Air quality forecast for 2010 EXPO in Shanghai, 2014 Youth Olympic Games in Nanjing and 2016 G20 in Hanzhou, China Tijian Wang (Nanjing University)
2:10 - 2:30 p.m.
Multi-Model Ensemble Forecasts of Regional Air Quality in China Idir Bouarar (Max Planck Institute for Meteorology)
2:30 - 2:50 p.m.
Evolution of the Canadian Operational Air Quality Forecast Systems: Addressing Today’s Needs and Preparing for Tomorrow
Didier Davignon (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
2:50 - 3:10 p.m.
Session 2
Emissions Forecasting
Chairs: Mike Moran,
Daniel Tong

3:10 - 3:30 p.m.
Rapid update of anthropogenic NOx emissions with fused satellite and ground observations: Initial application for NOAA ozone forecasting during the summer 2016 Daniel Tong (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)
3:30 - 3:50 p.m.
Impact of new North American emissions inventories on urban mobile source emissions for high resolution air quality modeling Junhua Zhang (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
3:50 - 4:10 p.m.
New developments in wildfire emission and dispersion forecasting with FireWork, the operational Canadian AQ forecast system with near-real-time biomass-burning emissions
Jack Chen (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
4:10 - 4:30 p.m.
Long term forecast and modelling of South Athabasca Oil Sands and provincial emissions in Alberta
Xin Qiu (Novus Environmental Inc.)
4:30 - 5:00 p.m.
5:00 - 7:00 p.m.
Poster Session - Poster Listing click here

Day 2: 8th IWAQFR - January 11, 2017

Time/Session Event
Session 3 Data Assimilation and Evaluation Processing Chairs: Richard Ménard,
Greg Carmichael
9:00 - 9:20 a.m.
Use of observations by the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service for data assimilation and product evaluation over Europe
Matthieu Plu (Meteo-France)
9:20 - 9:40 a.m.
Development of a high resolution planetary boundary layer height analysis system using aircraft, radiosonde, and NYS mesonet profiler data and the analysis impact on atmospheric transport and dispersion Jeongran Yun (State University of New York)
9:40 - 10:00 a.m.
Development of an operational assimilation system utilizing a Regional Chemistry Transport Model of Japan Meteorological Agency Masaaki Ikegami (Japan Meteorology Agency)
10:00 - 10:20 a.m.
Experimental post-processing of air quality forecasts for the Toronto 2015 PanAm and ParaPanAm Games Andrew Teakles (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
10:20 - 10:40 a.m.
10:40 - 11:00 a.m.
Improving air quality (and weather) predictions via application of new data assimilation techniques applicable to coupled models
Greg Carmichael (University of Iowa)
11:00 - 11:20 a.m.
UV Index Forecasting
Yves Rochon (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
11:20 - 11:40 p.m.
Development of a new analysis and data assimilation of surface pollutants at Environment and Climate Change Canada Richard Ménard (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
11:40 - 12:00 p.m.
Assimilating Compact Phase Space Retrievals (CPSRs): Comparison with independent observations (MOZAIC in situ and IASI retrievals) and extension to assimilation of truncated retrieval profiles
Arthur Mizzi (National Center for Atmospheric Research)
12:00 - 1:30 p.m.
1:30 - 1:50 p.m.
Performance analysis of the Canadian operational statistical air quality post-processing package
Radenko Pavlovic (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
Session 4 Interactions between Meteorology and Air Quality Prediction Chairs: Paul Makar, Heather Morrison
1:50 - 2:10 p.m.
The impact of more complexity in aerosol and chemistry modules on the aerosol predictions within a global online modeling system
Li Zhang (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ESRL)
2:10 - 2:30 p.m.
Impacts of forest shading/turbulence and aerosol direct/indirect effect feedbacks on urban air quality forecasts
Paul Makar (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
2:30 - 2:50 p.m.
Impacts of urban heat-island circulation on distributions of air pollutants over Tokyo
Makoto Deushi (Japan Meteorological Agency)
2:50 - 3:10 p.m.
Session 5
Urban and High-Resolution Air Quality Modelling
Chairs: Craig Stroud,
Pius Lee

3:10 - 3:30 p.m.
Modelling the sensitivity of population change scenarios at 1.0 km resolution using CMAQ Wayne Boulton (RWDI)
3:30 - 3:50 p.m.
Fine resolution regional dust forecast Pius Lee (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)
3:50 - 4:10 p.m.
High resolution simulations of Alberta and Saskatchewan using GEM-MACH: Comparing continuous emissions monitoring versus inventory estimates Ayodeji Akingunola (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
4:10 - 4:30 p.m.
Potential benefits of urban high-resolution NWP Predictions to air quality modelling Sylvie Leroyer (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
4:30 - 4:50 p.m.
Towards an operational air-quality forecasting system at urban scale at ECCC Rodrigo Munoz-Alpizar (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
4:50 - 5:00 p.m.
Closing Remarks

Day 3: PanAm/ParaPanAm Legacy Workshop - January 12, 2017

Time/Session Topic Speaker
Introduction and Overview
8:30 - 8:40 a.m.
Introduction to Special Session Craig Stroud / Paul Joe (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
8:40 - 9:00 a.m.
Overview of WMO/GURME Veronique Bouchet (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
9:00 - 9:20 a.m.
London 2012 and Air Quality Forecasting Developments at the UK Met Office
Matthew Hort
UK Met Office
9:20 - 9:40 a.m.
Overview of 2015 Pan Am Games Legacy Data Set
Craig Stroud / Dave Sills (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
9:40 - 10:00 a.m.
Health and Air Quality Portfolio for the 2015 Pan and ParaPan Games: Approach, Legacy and Lessons Learned Dave Henderson (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
10:00 - 10:15 a.m.
10:15 - 10:35 a.m.
Resolution of Local and Regional Sources Using Near Road and Background Measurement Sites Cheol Jeong (University of Toronto) and
Yushan Su (Ontario Ministry of Environment and Climate Change
10:35 - 10:55 a.m.
Dissecting the Multiple Scales of Urban Air Pollutant Variability using a Mobile Lab Jeff Brook (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
10:55 - 11:15 a.m.
Mobile Meteorological Measurements during the 2015 Toronto Games
David Sills (Environment and Climate Change Canada)  and
Jamie Voogt (University of Western Ontario
11:15 - 11:35 a.m.
Lessons Learned from the High-Resolution Air Quality Forecasting Demonstration During the 2015 Pan Am Games Craig Stroud (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
11:35 - 11:55 a.m.
Performance of a sub-km and urban version of the Global Environmental Multiscale (GEM) atmospheric model for Toronto’s 2015 Pan American Games Stephane Belair (Environment and Climate Change Canada)
11:55 - 1:00 p.m.
Next Steps
1:00 - 1:20 p.m.
Observations and numerical modeling study of urban meteorology in Tokyo Makoto Deushi
JMA, Japan
1:20 - 1:40 p.m.
WISE program: Observation, Modeling and Application for Urban Meteorology in Seoul Hwang Seung On
HUFS, South Korea
1:40 - 2:45 p.m.
Urban Environmental Modelling - Panel Discussion
Craig Stroud (moderator)
Greg Carmichael (Iowa University and GAW Chair)
Stephane Belair (Meteorological Research Division, ECCC)
Matthew Hort (Atmospheric Dispersion and Air Quality, UKMO)
Veronique Bouchet (Canadian Meteorological Centre Operations Division & GURME Chair)
Guy Brasseur (Max-Plank Institute & WCRP Chair)

The program component will be presented in English only.